谭浩然, 管东生, 王刚. 气温、降雨与社会经济活动对湛江市特呈岛红树林分布的影响[J]. 海洋环境科学, 2023, 42(4): 558-565. DOI: 10.12111/j.mes.2022-x-0169
引用本文: 谭浩然, 管东生, 王刚. 气温、降雨与社会经济活动对湛江市特呈岛红树林分布的影响[J]. 海洋环境科学, 2023, 42(4): 558-565. DOI: 10.12111/j.mes.2022-x-0169
TAN Haoran, GUAN Dongsheng, WANG Gang. Effects of air temperature, rainfall and socio-economic activities on mangrove forest distribution in Techeng Island of Zhangjiang[J]. Chinese Journal of MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2023, 42(4): 558-565. DOI: 10.12111/j.mes.2022-x-0169
Citation: TAN Haoran, GUAN Dongsheng, WANG Gang. Effects of air temperature, rainfall and socio-economic activities on mangrove forest distribution in Techeng Island of Zhangjiang[J]. Chinese Journal of MARINE ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE, 2023, 42(4): 558-565. DOI: 10.12111/j.mes.2022-x-0169

气温、降雨与社会经济活动对湛江市特呈岛红树林分布的影响

Effects of air temperature, rainfall and socio-economic activities on mangrove forest distribution in Techeng Island of Zhangjiang

  • 摘要: 本研究首先利用Google Earth影像,目视解译出湛江市特呈岛近20年的红树林分布面积,再利用相关分析、回归分析及主成分分析等方法,探讨了气温、降雨与海岸带社会经济活动对红树林分布面积的定量影响。结果表明,1月气温与红树林面积呈正相关,枯水期降雨量与红树林面积呈负相关。1月气温和枯水期降雨对红树林分布的影响存在明显的滞后效应,滞后期分别为3年和2年,这在一定程度上说明,气候变化对红树林分布的影响可持续数年。极端低温天气和枯水期降雨量的增加可能不利于红树林植物的生长繁殖与迁移扩散,甚至加剧红树林的退化。另外,湛江市区的人口数量、国民生产总值(GDP)、农业总产值、水产品总产量、货物吞吐量、旅游人数等均与特呈岛红树林面积呈负相关关系,海岸带社会经济活动对红树林分布的影响不容忽视。

     

    Abstract: Firstly, this study used Google Earth images to visually interpret the mangrove distribution area of Techeng Island in Zhanjiang in the past 20 years. Secondly, correlation analysis, regression analysis and principal component analysis were used to quantitatively explore how mangrove distribution area in Techeng Island of Zhanjiang could be affected by air temperature, precipitation and socio-economic activities in coastal zone. The result showed that there was a positive correlation between air temperature and mangrove forest area, and a negative correlation between rainfall and mangrove forest area. There was a lag effect for the influence of air temperature in January and rainfall in dry season on mangrove forest distribution. The lag period is 3 years for the air temperature in January and 2 years for the rainfall in dry season, respectively. This results partially indicated that the effects of climate factors on mangrove distribution would continue for several years. The increase of extremely cold air temperature weather and rainfall in dry season may not be conducive to the growth, reproduction, migration and spread of mangrove plants, and even aggravate the degradation of mangroves. Moreover, total population, gross domestic product (GDP), agricultural output value, total output of aquatic products, cargo throughput, and number of tourist in the urban district of Zhanjiang were all negatively correlated with mangrove distribution area. Thus, the influence of socio-economic activities in coastal zone on mangrove forest distribution cannot be ignored.

     

/

返回文章
返回